Germany vs Netherlands prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
UEFA Nations League action on Monday 16 November: Germany take on Netherlands from 20:45 WAT. Germany sit 3rd with 5 points from 4 games, while Netherlands are 1st on 8. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Germany – form over the last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Greece 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Netherlands – form over the last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Serbia 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Netherlands have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 24 Sep 2026, finished Netherlands 1–1 Germany.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Germany 1.8 – 0.9 Netherlands in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 58% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Germany 60% · draw 20% · Netherlands 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.44.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Germany to win, rated at 60% confidence at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.66, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Germany 1–0 Netherlands. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Germany60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.12
Netherlands20%fair 4.96 · @3.49
2.75Expected goals
1.83Germany xG
0.93Netherlands xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Germany 1.8 – 0.9 Netherlands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Germany vs Netherlands?
Our pick is Germany to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Germany vs Netherlands?
On our numbers Germany have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Netherlands 20%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Netherlands?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Netherlands?
Our predicted score is Germany 1–0 Netherlands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Germany vs Netherlands?
Germany vs Netherlands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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