Thu 12 Nov

Greece v Serbia: numbers & prediction

Greece

DDWWL
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Serbia

LLLLL
Greece 68%Draw 21%Serbia 11% Expected goals 2.05 – 0.71
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultGreece to win68% · @1.34
Double chanceGreece or draw89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.58

Greece vs Serbia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Greece v Serbia in the UEFA Nations League – Monday 16 November, 20:45 WAT. Greece sit 2nd with 8 points from 4 games, while Serbia are 4th on 0.

Form guide

Greece – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Germany 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.

Serbia – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Netherlands 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Greece have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Sep 2026, finished Serbia 1–2 Greece.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Greece 2.0 – 0.7 Serbia in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Greece 68% · draw 21% · Serbia 11%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.79.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Greece 2–0 Serbia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Greece68%fair 1.48 · @1.34
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.98
Serbia11%fair 9.07 · @7.34
2.76Expected goals
2.05Greece xG
0.71Serbia xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%

From our goals model: Greece 2.0 – 0.7 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGreece to win68%1.481.34
Double chanceGreece or draw89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.871.79
Draw no betGreece (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapGreece -0.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.791.54
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.501.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.17–
First team to scoreGreece to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultGreece ahead at half-time49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Greece / FT Greece45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.58–

Recent results

Greece – last 6

DDWWLD
4 Octvs Germany0–0D
1 Octvs Netherlands2–2D
27 Sep@ Germany1–0W
24 Sep@ Serbia2–1W
7 Junvs Italy0–1L
4 Jun@ Sweden2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Serbia – last 6

LLLLLL
4 Oct@ Netherlands1–2L
1 Oct@ Germany0–2L
27 Sepvs Netherlands1–2L
24 Sepvs Greece1–2L
5 Jun@ Mexico1–5L
31 May@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Serbia v Greece1–2
Greece vs Serbia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands4220+28
2Greece4220+28
3Germany4121+15
4Serbia4004-50

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Greece vs Serbia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Greece vs Serbia?

On our numbers Greece have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Serbia 11%.

How many goals will there be in Greece vs Serbia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Greece vs Serbia?

Our predicted score is Greece 2–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Greece vs Serbia?

Greece vs Serbia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.