Thu 12 Nov

São Bernardo v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Sat 14 Nov 2026
São Bernardo 58%Draw 23%Athletic Club 19% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.84
81%
ZoraTips pick

São Bernardo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSão Bernardo to win58% · @1.88
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.50

São Bernardo vs Athletic Club prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is São Bernardo v Athletic Club in the Serie B – Saturday 14 November, 20:30 WAT, Estadio Primeiro de Maio. São Bernardo sit 11th with 52 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Athletic Club are 14th on 47 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

São Bernardo – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Avai 1–2 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

Athletic Club – form over the last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 2–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 23 Jul 2026, finished Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects São Bernardo 1.7 – 0.8 Athletic Club in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: São Bernardo 58% · draw 23% · Athletic Club 19%.
  • Safer play: São Bernardo or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.79.
  • Value angle: São Bernardo to win at 1.88 – we make it 58%, the price implies 53%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: São Bernardo or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: São Bernardo 1–0 Athletic Club. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

São Bernardo58%fair 1.72 · @1.88
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.44
Athletic Club19%fair 5.18 · @3.80
2.51Expected goals
1.68São Bernardo xG
0.84Athletic Club xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.7 – 0.8 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSão Bernardo to win58%1.721.88 ▲
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.891.79
Draw no betSão Bernardo (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapAthletic Club +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.401.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.891.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.06
First team to scoreSão Bernardo to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.50–

Recent results

São Bernardo – last 6

LWWLDL
7 Nov@ Avai1–2L
1 Nov@ Cuiaba2–1W
24 Octvs Vila Nova3–2W
18 Octvs Criciuma0–1L
11 Oct@ Juventude2–2D
6 Oct@ Sport Recife1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

LWLDDL
8 Novvs Atletico Goianiense2–3L
2 Novvs Ceara2–1W
23 Oct@ Operario-PR0–1L
18 Oct@ Avai0–0D
13 Octvs Londrina2–2D
7 Oct@ Goias1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Athletic Club v São Bernardo2–1
São Bernardo vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is São Bernardo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers São Bernardo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 19%.

How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

São Bernardo vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.