Fortaleza EC 41%Draw 22%Vila Nova 36%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.08
65%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.76
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Fortaleza EC host Vila Nova in the Serie B on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 20:30 WAT. Fortaleza EC sit 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Vila Nova are 3rd on 66 (in the top four).
Form guide
Fortaleza EC – form over the last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 1–2 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Vila Nova – form over the last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Criciuma 1–0 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Jul 2026, finished Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 39% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Fortaleza EC 41% · draw 22% · Vila Nova 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – we make it 52%, the price implies 48%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC41%fair 2.41 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
Vila Nova36%fair 2.74 · @2.70
2.26Expected goals
1.18Fortaleza EC xG
1.08Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vila Nova 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
