Wed 11 Nov

Ponte Preta v Operario-PR: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Moisés Lucarelli

Ponte Preta

LLDDL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Operario-PR

WLWLL
Ponte Preta 21%Draw 18%Operario-PR 60% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.82
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultOperario-PR to win60% · @1.59
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.16

Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie B action on Saturday 14 November: Ponte Preta take on Operario-PR at Moisés Lucarelli from 20:30 WAT. Ponte Preta sit 20th with 15 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Operario-PR are 10th on 54 (in the top half). A 39-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Ponte Preta – form over the last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Goias 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Operario-PR – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Sport Recife 3–2 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Operario-PR have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Jul 2026, finished Operario-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ponte Preta 0.9 – 1.8 Operario-PR in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ponte Preta 21% · draw 18% · Operario-PR 60%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 1–1 Operario-PR. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ponte Preta21%fair 4.71 · @4.95
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.92
Operario-PR60%fair 1.66 · @1.59
2.75Expected goals
0.93Ponte Preta xG
1.82Operario-PR xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%

From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.9 – 1.8 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOperario-PR to win60%1.661.59
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.231.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.77
Draw no betOperario-PR (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapPonte Preta +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.10
First team to scoreOperario-PR to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultOperario-PR ahead at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.16–

Recent results

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLDDLL
8 Nov@ Goias0–1L
30 Oct@ Criciuma0–2L
24 Octvs Fortaleza EC2–2D
16 Octvs Atletico Goianiense1–1D
12 Oct@ Novorizontino1–5L
7 Octvs Juventude0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Operario-PR – last 6

WLWLLL
6 Novvs Sport Recife3–2W
1 Nov@ Novorizontino1–2L
23 Octvs Athletic Club1–0W
17 Oct@ America Mineiro0–1L
11 Octvs Goias0–2L
7 Octvs Botafogo SP1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Operario-PR v Ponte Preta3–2
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America Mineiro Avai 113%3.84X23%3.62264%1.82 0.7–1.8xG X2Avai or draw 87%@1.22
Atletico Goianiense Cuiaba 165%1.33X21%4.45214%9.10 1.7–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25
CRB Ceara 165%1.36X18%4.60217%7.50 2.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.41
Criciuma Novorizontino 136%2.75X24%3.00240%2.60 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25
Fortaleza EC Vila Nova 141%2.45X22%3.25236%2.70 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44
Juventude Botafogo SP 167%1.32X22%4.55211%9.20 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26
São Bernardo Athletic Club 158%1.88X23%3.44219%3.80 1.7–0.8xG 1XSão Bernardo or draw 81%@1.22
Sport Recife Goias 120%3.50X17%3.62262%1.91 0.8–1.8xG 2Goias to win 62%@1.91

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Operario-PR 60%.

How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 1–1 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.