Wed 11 Nov

America Mineiro v Avai: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Arena Independência
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Avai

WLLDW
America Mineiro 13%Draw 23%Avai 64% Expected goals 0.67 – 1.80
87%
ZoraTips pick

Avai or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Avai to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAvai to win64% · @1.82
Double chanceAvai or draw87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.91

America Mineiro vs Avai prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie B action on Saturday 14 November: America Mineiro take on Avai at Arena Independência from 20:30 WAT. America Mineiro sit 19th with 29 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Avai are 17th on 40 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

America Mineiro – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Ceara 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Avai – form over the last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat São Bernardo 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 21 Jul 2026, finished Avai 2–1 America Mineiro.

Goals outlook

Our model projects America Mineiro 0.7 – 1.8 Avai in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: America Mineiro 13% · draw 23% · Avai 64%.
  • Safer play: Avai or draw (87%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
  • Value angle: Avai to win at 1.82 – we make it 64%, the price implies 55%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Avai or draw, rated at 87% confidence at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: America Mineiro 0–1 Avai. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

America Mineiro13%fair 7.94 · @3.84
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.62
Avai64%fair 1.56 · @1.82
2.47Expected goals
0.67America Mineiro xG
1.80Avai xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.7 – 1.8 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvai to win64%1.561.82 ▲
Double chanceAvai or draw87%1.141.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.851.75
Draw no betAvai (draw no bet)84%1.20–
Asian handicapAvai -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.901.86
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.141.06
First team to scoreAvai to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultAvai ahead at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avai / FT Avai41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.91–

Recent results

America Mineiro – last 6

WWWWLL
8 Nov@ Ceara1–0W
1 Nov@ Londrina3–1W
26 Octvs Cuiaba1–0W
17 Octvs Operario-PR1–0W
12 Oct@ Criciuma0–1L
8 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Avai – last 6

WLLDWW
7 Novvs São Bernardo2–1W
31 Oct@ Nautico Recife0–1L
24 Octvs Botafogo SP0–2L
18 Octvs Athletic Club0–0D
11 Oct@ Cuiaba1–0W
7 Octvs Londrina2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jul 2026Avai v America Mineiro2–1
America Mineiro vs Avai head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Avai?

Our pick is Avai or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Avai?

On our numbers America Mineiro have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avai 64%.

How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Avai?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Avai?

Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is America Mineiro vs Avai?

America Mineiro vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.