Wed 11 Nov

Aruba v Martinique: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America

Aruba

LWWWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Aruba 42%Draw 15%Martinique 43% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.58
61%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMartinique to win43% · @1.43
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.85

Aruba vs Martinique prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Aruba host Martinique in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 23:00 WAT.

Form guide

Aruba – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Antigua and Barbuda 2–3 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Martinique – form over the last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with El Salvador 1–1 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

On form, Aruba have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Aruba 1.6 – 1.6 Martinique in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Aruba 42% · draw 15% · Martinique 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Aruba 1–1 Martinique. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Aruba42%fair 2.37 · @6.00
Draw15%fair 6.80 · @4.55
Martinique43%fair 2.32 · @1.43
3.13Expected goals
1.56Aruba xG
1.58Martinique xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Aruba 1.6 – 1.6 Martinique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMartinique to win43%2.321.43
Double chanceEither team to win85%1.171.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.821.67
Draw no betMartinique (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapAruba +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.651.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.641.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.291.18
First team to scoreMartinique to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Martinique / FT Martinique23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.85–

Recent results

Aruba – last 6

LWWWLW
7 Oct@ Antigua and Barbuda2–3L
5 Octvs Anguilla3–2W
30 Sep@ Anguilla2–0W
24 Sepvs Antigua and Barbuda1–0W
7 Jun@ Curaçao0–4L
29 Marvs Liechtenstein4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Martinique – last 6

DWLLLD
5 Octvs El Salvador1–1D
3 Octvs Honduras2–1W
28 Sep@ Suriname1–2L
26 Sep@ El Salvador1–3L
29 Marvs El Salvador0–1L
26 Marvs Cuba2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aruba and Martinique.

Aruba vs Martinique head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aruba vs Martinique?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Aruba vs Martinique?

On our numbers Aruba have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Martinique 43%.

How many goals will there be in Aruba vs Martinique?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aruba vs Martinique?

Our predicted score is Aruba 1–1 Martinique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aruba vs Martinique?

Aruba vs Martinique (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.