Thu 12 Nov

Barbados v Guadeloupe: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Stade Roger Zami
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Barbados 38%Draw 20%Guadeloupe 41% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.56
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Barbados to win @ 2.99 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultGuadeloupe to win41% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.64

Barbados vs Guadeloupe prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

CONCACAF Nations League action on Thursday 12 November: Barbados take on Guadeloupe at Stade Roger Zami from 20:00 WAT.

Form guide

Barbados – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Bermuda 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Guadeloupe – form over the last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to St. Lucia 0–1 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Barbados have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Sep 2026, finished Guadeloupe 2–2 Barbados.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Barbados 1.5 – 1.6 Guadeloupe in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Barbados 38% · draw 20% · Guadeloupe 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
  • Value angle: Barbados to win at 2.99 – we make it 38%, the price implies 33%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Barbados 1–1 Guadeloupe. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Barbados38%fair 2.62 · @2.99
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Guadeloupe41%fair 2.42 · @2.14
3.05Expected goals
1.49Barbados xG
1.56Guadeloupe xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Barbados 1.5 – 1.6 Guadeloupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuadeloupe to win41%2.422.14
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.621.53
Draw no betGuadeloupe (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapBarbados +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.261.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.14
First team to scoreGuadeloupe to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.64–

Recent results

Barbados – last 6

WWDWLL
6 Oct@ Bermuda2–1W
3 Octvs Bermuda4–1W
28 Sep@ Guadeloupe2–2D
26 Sepvs St. Lucia2–0W
29 Marvs St. Vincent Grenadines2–3L
26 Mar@ Saint Martin1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Guadeloupe – last 4

LLDW
5 Octvs St. Lucia0–1L
2 Oct@ St. Lucia0–3L
28 Sepvs Barbados2–2D
25 Sep@ Bermuda2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Sep 2026Guadeloupe v Barbados2–2
Barbados vs Guadeloupe head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Barbados vs Guadeloupe?

On our numbers Barbados have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guadeloupe 41%.

How many goals will there be in Barbados vs Guadeloupe?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?

Our predicted score is Barbados 1–1 Guadeloupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Barbados vs Guadeloupe?

Barbados vs Guadeloupe (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.