Thu 12 Nov

Bonaire v Cuba: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Estadio La Polar

Bonaire

WLLLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Cuba

DDWWD
Bonaire 10%Draw 16%Cuba 74% Expected goals 0.99 – 2.78
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.24

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.43 – our chance 54% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCuba to win74% · @1.03
Double chanceCuba or draw90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.43
GoalsOver 2.5 goals73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.34

Bonaire vs Cuba prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Bonaire host Cuba in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT at Estadio La Polar.

Form guide

Bonaire – form over the last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Grenada 4–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 2.0 per game.

Cuba – form over the last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with St. Kitts and Nevis 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.4 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Cuba have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Sep 2026, finished Cuba 2–0 Bonaire.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Bonaire 1.0 – 2.8 Cuba in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 54% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Bonaire 10% · draw 16% · Cuba 74%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.43.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.43 – we make it 54%, the price implies 41%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Bonaire 1–2 Cuba. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Bonaire10%fair 9.78 · @30.00
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @11.70
Cuba74%fair 1.35 · @1.03
3.77Expected goals
0.99Bonaire xG
2.78Cuba xG
54%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–29%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Bonaire 1.0 – 2.8 Cuba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuba to win74%1.351.03
Double chanceCuba or draw90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.862.43 ▲
Draw no betCuba (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapCuba -1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.131.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals73%1.371.24
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals53%1.891.74
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals66%1.521.40
First team to scoreCuba to score first72%1.39–
Half-time resultCuba ahead at half-time56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cuba / FT Cuba52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.34–

Recent results

Bonaire – last 6

WLLLLW
6 Oct@ Grenada4–1W
3 Octvs Grenada2–3L
28 Sep@ Cuba0–2L
26 Sepvs St. Kitts and Nevis1–2L
30 Marvs Saint Martin0–3L
27 Marvs St. Vincent Grenadines3–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cuba – last 5

DDWWD
5 Octvs St. Kitts and Nevis2–2D
2 Oct@ St. Kitts and Nevis3–3D
28 Sepvs Bonaire2–0W
25 Sep@ Grenada3–0W
26 Mar@ Martinique2–2D
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Sep 2026Cuba v Bonaire2–0
Bonaire vs Cuba head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bonaire vs Cuba?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Bonaire vs Cuba?

On our numbers Bonaire have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cuba 74%.

How many goals will there be in Bonaire vs Cuba?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bonaire vs Cuba?

Our predicted score is Bonaire 1–2 Cuba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Bonaire vs Cuba?

Bonaire vs Cuba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Polar.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.