Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✓76% · @1.20
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Plymouth v Alvechurch in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Home Park.
Form guide
Plymouth – form over the last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Reading 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.
Alvechurch – form over the last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Leiston 3–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Plymouth 2.6 – 0.8 Alvechurch in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 57% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Plymouth 76% · draw 16% · Alvechurch 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 57%, the price implies 50%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Plymouth to win, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Plymouth 2–0 Alvechurch. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Plymouth76%fair 1.32 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @7.00
Alvechurch9%fair 11.70 · @12.00
3.39Expected goals
2.60Plymouth xG
0.79Alvechurch xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Plymouth 2.6 – 0.8 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Double chance
Plymouth or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Plymouth (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
First team to score
Plymouth to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Plymouth ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✗
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Plymouth – last 6
DWLLWD
31 Oct
vs Reading
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Cambridge United
3–2
W
20 Oct
@ Stevenage
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Huddersfield
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
6 Oct
@ Newport County
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alvechurch – last 6
WDDWDD
31 Oct
@ Leiston
3–1
W
27 Oct
vs Anstey Nomads
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Stratford Town
4–4
D
20 Oct
vs Spalding United
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Spalding United
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Halesowen Town
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Alvechurch.
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alvechurch 9%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–0 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Plymouth vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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