Wed 11 Nov

Carlisle v Salford City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Brunton Park

Carlisle

WWWWD
1–0
FT

Salford City

WWWWW
Carlisle 38%Draw 21%Salford City 42% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.58
63%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSalford City to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Carlisle vs Salford City prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Carlisle v Salford City in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Brunton Park.

Form guide

Carlisle – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Altrincham 4–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Salford City – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Exeter City 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Jul 2026, finished Carlisle 0–2 Salford City.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Carlisle 1.5 – 1.6 Salford City in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Carlisle 38% · draw 21% · Salford City 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
  • Value angle: Carlisle to win at 2.90 – we make it 38%, the price implies 34%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Carlisle 1–1 Salford City. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Carlisle38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Salford City42%fair 2.41 · @2.30
3.06Expected goals
1.49Carlisle xG
1.58Salford City xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Carlisle 1.5 – 1.6 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✗42%2.412.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.50
Draw no betSalford City (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapCarlisle +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreSalford City to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Carlisle – last 6

WWWWDW
31 Oct@ Altrincham4–2W
28 Octvs Harrogate Town3–0W
24 Oct@ Solihull Moors2–1W
17 Octvs Tamworth2–1W
10 Octvs Kidderminster Harriers0–0D
3 Oct@ Aldershot Town3–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWWWWD
31 Octvs Exeter City2–1W
26 Oct@ Walsall4–2W
20 Oct@ Bristol Rovers2–1W
17 Octvs Crawley Town2–1W
10 Oct@ Cheltenham2–0W
6 Oct@ Accrington ST1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jul 2026Carlisle v Salford City0–2
Carlisle vs Salford City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
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FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 165%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.3xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.4–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 129%2.05X52%3.60218%3.40 1.6–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 176%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 164%1.90X14%3.90222%3.60 2.5–1.4xG 1Cheltenham to win 64%@1.90 ✓
FT Crewe2 AFC Wimbledon1 138%2.30X22%3.30240%3.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Salford City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?

On our numbers Carlisle have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Salford City 42%.

How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Salford City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Salford City?

Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Carlisle vs Salford City?

Carlisle vs Salford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.