Wed 11 Nov

Gillingham v Barrow: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Priestfield Stadium
0–1
FT

Barrow

DWWDW
Gillingham 56%Draw 25%Barrow 19% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.62
81%
ZoraTips pick

Gillingham or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGillingham to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceGillingham or draw ✗81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FA Cup action on Saturday 7 November: Gillingham take on Barrow at Priestfield Stadium from 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Gillingham – form over the last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Barrow – form over the last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Eastleigh 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, Barrow have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Gillingham 1.4 – 0.6 Barrow in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Gillingham 56% · draw 25% · Barrow 19%.
  • Safer play: Gillingham or draw (81%) at 1.28.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
  • Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 – we make it 58%, the price implies 50%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Gillingham or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Gillingham 1–0 Barrow. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Gillingham56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.50
Barrow19%fair 5.40 · @3.70
1.97Expected goals
1.36Gillingham xG
0.62Barrow xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gillingham 1.4 – 0.6 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGillingham to win ✗56%1.771.95 ▲
Double chanceGillingham or draw ✗81%1.231.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.70
Draw no betGillingham (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapBarrow +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.732.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.36 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.12
First team to scoreGillingham to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gillingham / FT Gillingham ✗32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.68–

Recent results

Gillingham – last 6

WLDLWW
31 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–1W
24 Octvs Grimsby1–4L
20 Octvs Port Vale1–1D
17 Oct@ Accrington ST1–3L
13 Octvs Brighton U214–3W
10 Oct@ Rotherham4–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Barrow – last 6

DWWDWW
31 Octvs Eastleigh1–1D
27 Oct@ FC Halifax Town3–2W
20 Oct@ Gloucester City2–0W
17 Octvs Gloucester City0–0D
10 Oct@ Tamworth2–1W
3 Octvs Wealdstone2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Barrow.

Gillingham vs Barrow head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Barrow?

Our pick is Gillingham or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?

On our numbers Gillingham have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barrow 19%.

How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Barrow?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Barrow?

Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–0 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gillingham vs Barrow?

Gillingham vs Barrow (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.