Wed 11 Nov

Chesterfield v Yeovil Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · SMH Group Stadium
4–3
FT
Chesterfield 63%Draw 23%Yeovil Town 14% Expected goals 3.09 – 1.61
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.53Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.90

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Chesterfield v Yeovil Town in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, SMH Group Stadium.

Form guide

Chesterfield – form over the last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Newport County 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Yeovil Town – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to FC Halifax Town 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Chesterfield 3.1 – 1.6 Yeovil Town in expected goals – roughly 4.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 70% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Chesterfield 63% · draw 23% · Yeovil Town 14%.
  • Safer play: Chesterfield or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.25 – we make it 55%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.36, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Chesterfield63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.75
Yeovil Town14%fair 7.28 · @5.25
4.70Expected goals
3.09Chesterfield xG
1.61Yeovil Town xG
70%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
2–26%
4–16%
1–15%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 3.1 – 1.6 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✓63%1.581.50
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.441.62 ▲
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapChesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.361.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.822.25 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗62%1.611.25
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultChesterfield ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%13.90–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 6

LWDLDW
30 Oct@ Newport County1–4L
24 Octvs Crewe5–1W
20 Octvs Colchester1–1D
17 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L
10 Oct@ Crawley Town2–2D
3 Octvs Tranmere4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yeovil Town – last 6

LWLWDW
31 Oct@ FC Halifax Town0–2L
27 Oct@ AFC Hornchurch2–1W
24 Octvs Altrincham1–2L
20 Octvs Leatherhead5–2W
17 Oct@ Leatherhead3–3D
10 Oct@ Wealdstone6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town.

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 14%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.