Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.90
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Chesterfield v Yeovil Town in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, SMH Group Stadium.
Form guide
Chesterfield – form over the last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Newport County 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Yeovil Town – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to FC Halifax Town 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Chesterfield 3.1 – 1.6 Yeovil Town in expected goals – roughly 4.7 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 70% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Chesterfield 63% · draw 23% · Yeovil Town 14%.
Safer play: Chesterfield or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.25 – we make it 55%, the price implies 44%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.36, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Chesterfield63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.75
Yeovil Town14%fair 7.28 · @5.25
4.70Expected goals
3.09Chesterfield xG
1.61Yeovil Town xG
70%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
2–26%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 3.1 – 1.6 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Chesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.25 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.25
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.90
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 6
LWDLDW
30 Oct
@ Newport County
1–4
L
24 Oct
vs Crewe
5–1
W
20 Oct
vs Colchester
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Crawley Town
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Tranmere
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yeovil Town – last 6
LWLWDW
31 Oct
@ FC Halifax Town
0–2
L
27 Oct
@ AFC Hornchurch
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Altrincham
1–2
L
20 Oct
vs Leatherhead
5–2
W
17 Oct
@ Leatherhead
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Wealdstone
6–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.