Wed 11 Nov

Altrincham v Notts County: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Moss Lane

Altrincham

LDWWD
2–2
FTPens 2–3

Notts County

WDWLW
Altrincham 14%Draw 24%Notts County 62% Expected goals 1.09 – 2.29
82%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Notts County to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNotts County to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceNotts County or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Altrincham vs Notts County prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Altrincham v Notts County in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 18:30 WAT, Moss Lane.

Form guide

Altrincham – form over the last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Carlisle 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Notts County – form over the last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Mansfield Town 2–0 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 1.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Altrincham 1.1 – 2.3 Notts County in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 58% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Altrincham 14% · draw 24% · Notts County 62%.
  • Safer play: Notts County or draw (86%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
  • Value angle: Notts County to win at 1.73 – we make it 62%, the price implies 58%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Altrincham 1–2 Notts County. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Altrincham14%fair 6.98 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.75
Notts County62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
3.39Expected goals
1.09Altrincham xG
2.29Notts County xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Altrincham 1.1 – 2.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNotts County to win ✗62%1.621.73 ▲
Double chanceNotts County or draw ✓86%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.70
Draw no betNotts County (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapNotts County -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.17
First team to scoreNotts County to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultNotts County ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Notts County / FT Notts County ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Altrincham – last 6

LDWWDW
31 Octvs Carlisle2–4L
27 Octvs Kidderminster Harriers0–0D
24 Oct@ Yeovil Town2–1W
20 Oct@ United of Manchester6–2W
17 Octvs United of Manchester0–0D
10 Octvs Aldershot Town3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Notts County – last 6

WDWLWL
31 Oct@ Mansfield Town2–0W
24 Octvs Stockport County1–1D
20 Octvs Sheffield Wednesday2–0W
17 Oct@ Wycombe0–2L
13 Octvs Nottingham Forest U215–1W
10 Octvs Oxford United1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Notts County.

Altrincham vs Notts County head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 165%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.3xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
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FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 129%2.05X52%3.60218%3.40 1.6–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗
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FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 138%2.90X21%3.50242%2.30 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 164%1.90X14%3.90222%3.60 2.5–1.4xG 1Cheltenham to win 64%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?

On our numbers Altrincham have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Notts County 62%.

How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Notts County?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Notts County?

Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–2 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Altrincham vs Notts County?

Altrincham vs Notts County (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.