Thu 12 Nov

Port Vale v Scunthorpe: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Vale Park
4–2
FT
Port Vale 64%Draw 18%Scunthorpe 18% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.13
82%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPort Vale to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FA Cup action on Saturday 7 November: Port Vale take on Scunthorpe at Vale Park from 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Port Vale – form over the last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Rochdale 4–2 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Scunthorpe – form over the last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Wolves U21 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 2.3 per game.

On form, Port Vale have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Port Vale 2.3 – 1.1 Scunthorpe in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 62% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Port Vale 64% · draw 18% · Scunthorpe 18%.
  • Safer play: Port Vale or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Port Vale 2–1 Scunthorpe. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Port Vale64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.10
Scunthorpe18%fair 5.58 · @5.25
3.43Expected goals
2.30Port Vale xG
1.13Scunthorpe xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Port Vale 2.3 – 1.1 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✓64%1.561.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Draw no betPort Vale (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapPort Vale -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.291.17
First team to scorePort Vale to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultPort Vale ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✓42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Port Vale – last 6

WWLDWW
31 Octvs Rochdale4–2W
27 Octvs Manchester City U215–0W
24 Oct@ York0–2L
20 Oct@ Gillingham1–1D
17 Octvs Chesterfield1–0W
10 Octvs Grimsby1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Scunthorpe – last 6

DLLLWD
3 Novvs Wolves U212–2D
31 Oct@ Boston United1–2L
27 Oct@ Tamworth1–4L
24 Octvs Woking2–3L
17 Oct@ Boston United3–1W
13 Octvs Derby County U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Scunthorpe.

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

On our numbers Port Vale have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Scunthorpe 18%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our predicted score is Port Vale 2–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.