Wed 11 Nov

Oxford United v Stevenage: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Kassam Stadium

Oxford United

WDWDW
0–1
FT

Stevenage

DLWLW
Oxford United 51%Draw 22%Stevenage 26% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.02
73%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Oxford United v Stevenage in the FA Cup – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Kassam Stadium.

Form guide

Oxford United – form over the last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Reading 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Stevenage – form over the last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Leicester 2–2 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Oxford United 1.6 – 1.0 Stevenage in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Oxford United 51% · draw 22% · Stevenage 26%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Oxford United 1–1 Stevenage. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Oxford United51%fair 1.95 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Stevenage26%fair 3.79 · @3.70
2.57Expected goals
1.55Oxford United xG
1.02Stevenage xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Oxford United 1.6 – 1.0 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗51%1.952.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.80
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapStevenage +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreOxford United to score first ✗56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Oxford United – last 6

WDWDWD
4 Novvs Reading2–0W
31 Oct@ Barnsley1–1D
27 Octvs Stockport County1–0W
24 Octvs Bradford0–0D
20 Octvs Wigan2–1W
15 Oct@ Mansfield Town1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Stevenage – last 6

DLWLWW
31 Oct@ Leicester2–2D
24 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons0–1L
20 Octvs Plymouth3–0W
17 Oct@ Bradford0–2L
10 Octvs Wigan1–0W
6 Octvs Leicester2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Stevenage v Oxford United1–2
Oxford United vs Stevenage head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X21%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 165%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.3xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.4–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 129%2.05X52%3.60218%3.40 1.6–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 82%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 176%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 138%2.90X21%3.50242%2.30 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 164%1.90X14%3.90222%3.60 2.5–1.4xG 1Cheltenham to win 64%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stevenage 26%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Oxford United 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Oxford United vs Stevenage (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.