Thu 12 Nov

Newport County v Walsall: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Rodney Parade

Newport County

LWLDD
3–1
FT

Walsall

WLWDW
Newport County 35%Draw 22%Walsall 43% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.42
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWalsall to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Newport County vs Walsall prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Newport County host Walsall in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Rodney Parade.

Form guide

Newport County – form over the last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace U21 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.

Walsall – form over the last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Colchester 3–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Walsall have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Newport County 1.3 – 1.4 Walsall in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Newport County 35% · draw 22% · Walsall 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
  • Value angle: Walsall to win at 2.70 – we make it 43%, the price implies 37%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Newport County 1–1 Walsall. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Newport County35%fair 2.87 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Walsall43%fair 2.34 · @2.70
2.67Expected goals
1.25Newport County xG
1.42Walsall xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Newport County 1.3 – 1.4 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWalsall to win ✗43%2.342.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.70
Draw no betWalsall (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapNewport County +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreWalsall to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Walsall / FT Walsall ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Newport County – last 6

LWLDDW
3 Novvs Crystal Palace U211–2L
30 Octvs Chesterfield4–1W
24 Oct@ Cheltenham0–1L
20 Oct@ Rotherham2–2D
17 Octvs York1–1D
10 Octvs Colchester1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Walsall – last 6

WLWDWD
31 Oct@ Colchester3–1W
26 Octvs Salford City2–4L
20 Octvs Oldham3–0W
17 Oct@ Swindon Town1–1D
13 Octvs Fulham U213–2W
10 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Walsall.

Newport County vs Walsall head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 165%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.3xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
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FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 138%2.90X21%3.50242%2.30 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 164%1.90X14%3.90222%3.60 2.5–1.4xG 1Cheltenham to win 64%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newport County vs Walsall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Newport County vs Walsall?

On our numbers Newport County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walsall 43%.

How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Walsall?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Walsall?

Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Newport County vs Walsall?

Newport County vs Walsall (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.