Thu 12 Nov

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Stadium MK

Milton Keynes Dons

WWWLW
2–1
FT

Swindon Town

WDWDL
Milton Keynes Dons 69%Draw 19%Swindon Town 12% Expected goals 2.27 – 0.85
69%
ZoraTips pick

Milton Keynes Dons to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.34

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FA Cup action on Saturday 7 November: Milton Keynes Dons take on Swindon Town at Stadium MK from 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Milton Keynes Dons – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Doncaster 6–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Swindon Town – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Rotherham 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, Milton Keynes Dons have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Milton Keynes Dons 2.3 – 0.8 Swindon Town in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 58% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Milton Keynes Dons 69% · draw 19% · Swindon Town 12%.
  • Safer play: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (88%) at 1.14.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Milton Keynes Dons to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Swindon Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Milton Keynes Dons69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.50
Swindon Town12%fair 8.37 · @5.75
3.12Expected goals
2.27Milton Keynes Dons xG
0.85Swindon Town xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 2.3 – 0.8 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓69%1.451.50
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓88%1.141.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betMilton Keynes Dons (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapMilton Keynes Dons -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreMilton Keynes Dons to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultMilton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.34–

Recent results

Milton Keynes Dons – last 6

WWWLWL
31 Octvs Doncaster6–1W
27 Octvs Bromley4–1W
24 Oct@ Stevenage1–0W
20 Oct@ Blackpool0–2L
17 Octvs Luton2–1W
10 Octvs Reading1–5L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

WDWDLL
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
3 Oct@ Rochdale0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swindon Town 12%.

How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.