Thu 12 Nov

AFC Hornchurch v Blackpool: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch

WLLLW
1–1
FTAET 1–2

Blackpool

DWLWL
AFC Hornchurch 17%Draw 22%Blackpool 61% Expected goals 1.20 – 2.32
83%
ZoraTips pick

Blackpool or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBlackpool to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceBlackpool or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FA Cup action on Saturday 7 November: AFC Hornchurch take on Blackpool at Hornchurch Stadium from 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

AFC Hornchurch – form over the last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat West Ham United U21 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Blackpool – form over the last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 2.3 Blackpool in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 64% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: AFC Hornchurch 17% · draw 22% · Blackpool 61%.
  • Safer play: Blackpool or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Blackpool to win at 1.80 – we make it 61%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Blackpool or draw, rated at 83% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

AFC Hornchurch17%fair 5.81 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
Blackpool61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
3.52Expected goals
1.20AFC Hornchurch xG
2.32Blackpool xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 2.3 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlackpool to win ✗61%1.641.80 ▲
Double chanceBlackpool or draw ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.57
Draw no betBlackpool (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapBlackpool -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
First team to scoreBlackpool to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultBlackpool ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blackpool / FT Blackpool ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

WLLLWW
3 Novvs West Ham United U212–0W
30 Oct@ AFC Fylde1–3L
27 Octvs Yeovil Town1–2L
24 Oct@ Hartlepool1–2L
17 Oct@ Uxbridge4–0W
10 Octvs Eastleigh2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Blackpool – last 6

DWLWLL
1 Nov@ Sheffield Wednesday1–1D
27 Octvs Aston Villa U213–2W
24 Octvs Mansfield Town1–4L
20 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons2–0W
17 Oct@ Leyton Orient0–2L
10 Oct@ Cambridge United0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Blackpool.

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our pick is Blackpool or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackpool 61%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our predicted score is AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.