Wed 11 Nov

Guiseley AFC v Sutton Utd: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Guiseley AFC

WDWWW
1–0
FT

Sutton Utd

DWWLW
Guiseley AFC 34%Draw 21%Sutton Utd 45% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.54
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSutton Utd to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Guiseley AFC host Sutton Utd in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Guiseley AFC – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Leek Town 4–1 at home. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Sutton Utd – form over the last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Southampton U21 0–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Guiseley AFC have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 2.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Guiseley AFC 1.3 – 1.5 Sutton Utd in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Guiseley AFC 34% · draw 21% · Sutton Utd 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Guiseley AFC to win at 3.60 – we make it 34%, the price implies 28%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Guiseley AFC 1–1 Sutton Utd. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Guiseley AFC34%fair 2.90 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Sutton Utd45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
2.85Expected goals
1.31Guiseley AFC xG
1.54Sutton Utd xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.3 – 1.5 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSutton Utd to win ✗45%2.242.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Draw no betSutton Utd (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapGuiseley AFC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.14
First team to scoreSutton Utd to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Guiseley AFC – last 6

WDWWWW
3 Novvs Leek Town4–1W
31 Oct@ Redcar Athletic2–2D
24 Oct@ Rylands3–1W
20 Octvs Cleethorpes Town2–1W
17 Oct@ Leiston3–0W
10 Oct@ Avro1–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sutton Utd – last 6

DWWLWW
3 Novvs Southampton U210–0D
31 Oct@ Worthing3–0W
28 Octvs Aldershot Town2–0W
24 Oct@ Harrogate Town1–3L
17 Octvs Truro City1–0W
13 Octvs West Bromwich Albion U213–2W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Sutton Utd.

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sutton Utd 45%.

How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.