Guadeloupe v Barbados Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuadeloupe to win ✗65% · @1.85

Double chanceGuadeloupe or draw ✓85% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Guadeloupe vs Barbados prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Guadeloupe host Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.

Form guide

Barbados – form over the last 3: WLL Most recently they beat St. Lucia 2–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 2.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Guadeloupe 1.8 – 0.7 Barbados in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Guadeloupe 65% · draw 20% · Barbados 15%.
Safer play: Guadeloupe or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Guadeloupe to win at 1.85 – we make it 65%, the price implies 54%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Guadeloupe or draw, rated at 85% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Guadeloupe65%fair 1.55 · @1.85

Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.20

Barbados15%fair 6.64 · @4.00

2.50Expected goals

1.80Guadeloupe xG

0.70Barbados xG

50%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–013%

1–110%

2–19%

0–08%

3–08%

From our goals model: Guadeloupe 1.8 – 0.7 Barbados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guadeloupe to win ✗	65%	1.55	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Guadeloupe or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	2.00	1.83
Draw no bet	Guadeloupe (draw no bet)	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Guadeloupe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Guadeloupe to score first	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Guadeloupe ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe ✗	40%	2.50	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.73	–

Guadeloupe – last 1

25 Sep

@ Bermuda

2–1

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Barbados – last 3

WLL

26 Sep	vs St. Lucia	2–0	W
29 Mar	vs St. Vincent Grenadines	2–3	L
26 Mar	@ Saint Martin	1–3	L

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Our pick is Guadeloupe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

On our numbers Guadeloupe have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barbados 15%.

How many goals will there be in Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Our predicted score is Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Guadeloupe vs Barbados (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guadeloupe v Barbados: numbers & prediction

Guadeloupe

Barbados

Guadeloupe or draw