Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCuraçao to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.83
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✗5% · fair 18.26
Curaçao vs Nicaragua prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Curaçao v Nicaragua in the CONCACAF Nations League – Monday 28 September, 01:00 WAT, Ergilio Hato Stadium.
Form guide
Curaçao – form over the last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Costa Rica 4–3 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 2.7 per game.
Nicaragua – form over the last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Dominican Republic 2–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, Curaçao have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Curaçao 4.1 – 1.9 Nicaragua in expected goals – roughly 6.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 94% likely and both teams score 65% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Curaçao 71% · draw 19% · Nicaragua 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.83 – we make it 65%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Curaçao to win, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Curaçao71%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.40
Nicaragua10%fair 10.34 · @7.50
6.00Expected goals
4.07Curaçao xG
1.93Nicaragua xG
65%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
4–15%
3–15%
4–25%
3–25%
5–14%
5–24%
From our goals model: Curaçao 4.1 – 1.9 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curaçao to win✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Double chance
Curaçao or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Curaçao (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Curaçao -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Curaçao to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Curaçao ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curaçao / FT Curaçao✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–1✗
5%
18.26
–
Recent results
Curaçao – last 6
WLDLWL
25 Sep
@ Costa Rica
4–3
W
25 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Germany
1–7
L
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
30 May
@ Scotland
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nicaragua – last 4
LLDL
25 Sep
@ Dominican Republic
2–3
L
5 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–4
L
29 May
@ South Africa
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Russia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Nicaragua.
Our pick is Curaçao to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nicaragua 10%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
Curaçao vs Nicaragua (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dominica0
Puerto Rico2
Trinidad and Tobago1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe2
Barbados2
Cuba2
Bonaire0
Suriname2
Martinique1