Trinidad and Tobago v Dominican Republic Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTrinidad and Tobago to win ✗42% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.60

GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.77

Trinidad and Tobago vs Dominican Republic prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

CONCACAF Nations League action on Monday 28 September: Trinidad and Tobago take on Dominican Republic at Hasely Crawford Stadium from 02:00 WAT.

Form guide

Trinidad and Tobago – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Haiti 2–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.6 per game.

Dominican Republic – form over the last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Nicaragua 3–2 at home. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, Dominican Republic have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Trinidad and Tobago 2.6 – 2.4 Dominican Republic in expected goals – roughly 5.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 88% likely and both teams score 70% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Trinidad and Tobago 42% · draw 21% · Dominican Republic 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.60.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.42, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Trinidad and Tobago 2–2 Dominican Republic. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Trinidad and Tobago42%fair 2.37 · @2.40

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.50

Dominican Republic37%fair 2.68 · @2.50

5.00Expected goals

2.57Trinidad and Tobago xG

2.43Dominican Republic xG

70%Both score

88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%

3–26%

2–15%

2–35%

1–25%

3–15%

From our goals model: Trinidad and Tobago 2.6 – 2.4 Dominican Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Trinidad and Tobago to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	70%	1.42	1.60 ▲
Draw no bet	Trinidad and Tobago (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Dominican Republic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Over 4.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
First team to score	Trinidad and Tobago to score first	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Trinidad and Tobago ahead at half-time ✗	37%	2.71	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Trinidad and Tobago / FT Trinidad and Tobago ✗	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–2 ✗	6%	17.77	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Trinidad and Tobago to win ✗

42%

2.37

2.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

79%

1.26

1.29

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

70%

1.42

1.60 ▲

Draw no bet

Trinidad and Tobago (draw no bet) ✗

53%

1.89

–

Asian handicap

Dominican Republic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

96%

1.04

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

88%

1.14

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✗

73%

1.36

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Over 4.5 goals ✗

56%

1.79

–

First team to score

Trinidad and Tobago to score first

51%

1.96

–

Half-time result

Trinidad and Tobago ahead at half-time ✗

37%

2.71

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Trinidad and Tobago / FT Trinidad and Tobago ✗

27%

3.66

–

Correct score

Correct score 3–2 ✗

17.77

–

25 Sep	@ Haiti	2–3	L
26 Jul	@ Louisville City	0–1	L
9 Jun	@ Russia	0–3	L
31 May	@ South Korea	0–5	L
27 Mar	@ Venezuela	1–4	L

25 Sep	vs Nicaragua	3–2	W
4 Jun	@ Panama	2–4	L
27 Mar	vs El Salvador	2–2	D

Trinidad and Tobago v Dominican Republic: numbers & prediction