Wed 11 Nov

Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Leones del Norte 67%Draw 21%Guayaquil City FC 13% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.63
67%
ZoraTips pick

Leones del Norte to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗67% · @1.73
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Leones del Norte host Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte sit 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48. The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Leones del Norte – form over the last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Emelec 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.

Guayaquil City FC – form over the last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Libertad 0–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Guayaquil City FC have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, finished Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Across the last 3 meetings Leones del Norte have won 0s, Guayaquil City FC 0, with 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Leones del Norte 1.8 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Leones del Norte 67% · draw 21% · Guayaquil City FC 13%.
  • Safer play: Leones del Norte or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Leones del Norte to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.50, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Leones del Norte67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Guayaquil City FC13%fair 7.78 · @5.00
2.44Expected goals
1.81Leones del Norte xG
0.63Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%

From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.8 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeones del Norte to win ✗67%1.501.73 ▲
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.83
Draw no betLeones del Norte (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapLeones del Norte -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
First team to scoreLeones del Norte to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultLeones del Norte ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.34–

Recent results

Leones del Norte – last 6

WWLLDL
31 Oct@ Emelec2–0W
25 Octvs Libertad4–1W
18 Octvs Emelec1–3L
9 Oct@ Libertad0–3L
20 Sep@ Guayaquil City FC1–1D
13 Sepvs Tecnico Universitario0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

DWLWDW
1 Novvs Libertad0–0D
25 Oct@ Emelec1–0W
18 Oct@ Libertad0–4L
10 Octvs Emelec3–2W
20 Sepvs Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte1–1
23 Jul 2026Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC1–1
23 Mar 2026Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte0–0
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Leones del Norte to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guayaquil City FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.