Aucas 26%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 50%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.47
67%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente del Valle to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Liga Pro action on Sunday 8 November: Aucas take on Independiente del Valle at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda from 22:00 WAT. Aucas sit 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84. A 30-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Aucas – form over the last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Universidad Catolica 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Independiente del Valle – form over the last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Delfin SC 2–0 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Independiente del Valle have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 2–1 Aucas. Across the last 2 meetings Aucas have won 0s, Independiente del Valle 2, with 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Aucas 1.0 – 1.5 Independiente del Valle in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 41% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Aucas 26% · draw 24% · Independiente del Valle 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Independiente del Valle to win at 2.20 – we make it 50%, the price implies 45%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Aucas 1–1 Independiente del Valle. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Aucas26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.00
Independiente del Valle50%fair 1.98 · @2.20
2.43Expected goals
0.96Aucas xG
1.47Independiente del Valle xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.0 – 1.5 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Aucas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
What is the prediction for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Aucas have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 50%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
