Thu 12 Nov

Macara v Universidad Catolica: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WWWWW
2–2
FT
Macara 40%Draw 22%Universidad Catolica 38% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.24
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29

Macara vs Universidad Catolica prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Liga Pro action on Sunday 8 November: Macara take on Universidad Catolica at Estadio Bellavista from 22:00 WAT. Macara sit 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54. A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Macara – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Universidad Catolica – form over the last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Macara have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Oct 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 0–1 Macara. Across the last 3 meetings Macara have won 1, Universidad Catolica 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Macara 1.3 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Macara 40% · draw 22% · Universidad Catolica 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Macara to win at 2.80 – we make it 40%, the price implies 36%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Macara40%fair 2.52 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
Universidad Catolica38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
2.52Expected goals
1.27Macara xG
1.24Universidad Catolica xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Macara 1.3 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✗40%2.522.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.73
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.29–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WWWWWW
31 Octvs Barcelona SC3–0W
25 Oct@ LDU de Quito2–1W
18 Octvs Independiente del Valle1–0W
11 Oct@ Universidad Catolica1–0W
19 Sep@ Aucas2–1W
13 Sepvs Emelec1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 6

WLDDDL
5 Nov@ LDU de Quito2–1W
1 Novvs Aucas1–2L
30 Octvs LDU de Quito2–2D
23 Oct@ Independiente del Valle0–0D
18 Oct@ Barcelona SC1–1D
11 Octvs Macara0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Universidad Catolica v Macara0–1
18 Aug 2026Macara v Universidad Catolica1–1
24 Apr 2026Universidad Catolica v Macara4–0
Macara vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Macara have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad Catolica 38%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Macara vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.