Sat 14 Nov

APS Bomet v Bandari: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT

Bandari

WDDDD
APS Bomet 46%Draw 25%Bandari 29% Expected goals 1.13 – 0.81
69%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.31 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.31Odds
1

Value bet: APS Bomet to win @ 2.42 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAPS Bomet to win ✓46% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19

APS Bomet vs Bandari prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is APS Bomet v Bandari in the FKF Premier League – Saturday 14 November, 13:00 WAT. APS Bomet sit 13th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Bandari are 9th on 7 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

APS Bomet – form over the last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to KCB 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Bandari – form over the last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Tusker 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Bandari 0–2 APS Bomet.

Goals outlook

Our model projects APS Bomet 1.1 – 0.8 Bandari in expected goals – roughly 1.9 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: APS Bomet 46% · draw 25% · Bandari 29%.
  • Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.49.
  • Value angle: APS Bomet to win at 2.42 – we make it 46%, the price implies 41%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: APS Bomet 1–0 Bandari. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

APS Bomet46%fair 2.18 · @2.42
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.62
Bandari29%fair 3.44 · @3.05
1.95Expected goals
1.13APS Bomet xG
0.81Bandari xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.1 – 0.8 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPS Bomet to win ✓46%2.182.42 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.49
Draw no betAPS Bomet (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapBandari +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.771.66
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.31
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.171.07
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreAPS Bomet to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT APS Bomet / FT APS Bomet ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.19–

Recent results

APS Bomet – last 6

LWDDDL
6 Nov@ KCB0–1L
28 Octvs 3K3–0W
25 Oct@ Nairobi United1–1D
10 Oct@ Mathare United0–0D
2 Octvs Murang'a SEAL0–0D
4 Sepvs GOR Mahia0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bandari – last 6

WDDDDL
8 Novvs Tusker1–0W
28 Octvs Posta Rangers FC0–0D
19 Octvs 3K1–1D
14 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–0D
2 Oct@ Nairobi United1–1D
11 Sep@ GOR Mahia0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Bandari v APS Bomet0–2
APS Bomet vs Bandari head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Bandari?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win APS Bomet vs Bandari?

On our numbers APS Bomet have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bandari 29%.

How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Bandari?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Bandari?

Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is APS Bomet vs Bandari?

APS Bomet vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.