Value bet: Migori Youth to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMigori Youth to win42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.26
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.69
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Ulinzi Stars host Migori Youth in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Ulinzi Stars sit 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Migori Youth are 12th on 6 (in the bottom half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Ulinzi Stars – form over the last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Murang'a SEAL 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Migori Youth – form over the last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Mara Sugar 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Migori Youth in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Ulinzi Stars 33% · draw 24% · Migori Youth 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.26.
Value angle: Migori Youth to win at 2.75 – we make it 42%, the price implies 36%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 60% confidence at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Migori Youth. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars33%fair 3.00 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.82
Migori Youth42%fair 2.35 · @2.75
2.00Expected goals
0.91Ulinzi Stars xG
1.09Migori Youth xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Migori Youth to win
42%
2.35
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.26 ▲
Draw no bet
Migori Youth (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Migori Youth to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
13.69
–
Recent results
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
DLDLWD
8 Nov
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–2
D
29 Oct
@ Kenya Police
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Tusker
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs Mathare United
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
LDDWDD
7 Nov
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Shabana
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Police
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Mathare United
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Migori Youth 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
