Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultVillacañas to win50% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.28
Villacañas vs Tarancón prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Villacañas v Tarancón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 – Sunday 15 November, 16:30 WAT. Villacañas sit 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Tarancón are 8th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Villacañas – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Guadalajara II 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Tarancón – form over the last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Levante 1–1 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Villacañas 1.7 – 1.1 Tarancón in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Villacañas 50% · draw 24% · Tarancón 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.13.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.13 – we make it 55%, the price implies 47%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.49, above our fair price of 1.45, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Villacañas 1–1 Tarancón. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Villacañas50%fair 2.02 · @2.03
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.92
Tarancón26%fair 3.86 · @3.48
2.77Expected goals
1.72Villacañas xG
1.05Tarancón xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Villacañas 1.7 – 1.1 Tarancón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Villacañas
Tarancón
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 18 average
+29%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+2%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.07
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 18 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villacañas to win
50%
2.02
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
2.13 ▲
Draw no bet
Villacañas (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Tarancón +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Villacañas to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villacañas / FT Villacañas
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Villacañas – last 6
DWWWDL
7 Nov
@ Guadalajara II
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs CD Villa
4–1
W
25 Oct
@ Torrijos
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Illescas
4–3
W
11 Oct
@ Villarrobledo
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Toledo
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tarancón – last 6
DLDDWW
12 Nov
vs Levante
1–1
D
8 Nov
vs La Solana
0–2
L
31 Oct
@ Noblejas
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Villarrubia
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Quintanar del Rey
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Socuéllamos
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villacañas and Tarancón.
What is the prediction for Villacañas vs Tarancón?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Villacañas vs Tarancón?
On our numbers Villacañas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tarancón 26%.
How many goals will there be in Villacañas vs Tarancón?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villacañas vs Tarancón?
Our predicted score is Villacañas 1–1 Tarancón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Villacañas vs Tarancón?
Villacañas vs Tarancón (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
