Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 52% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultToledo to win62% · @1.38
Double chanceToledo or draw85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.16
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.16
Toledo vs Villarrobledo prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Toledo v Villarrobledo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 – Sunday 15 November, 16:30 WAT. Toledo sit 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Villarrobledo are 5th on 17 (in the top half).
Form guide
Toledo – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Marchamalo 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Villarrobledo – form over the last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to San Clemente 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Toledo have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 29 Mar 2026, finished Villarrobledo 0–0 Toledo.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Toledo 1.6 – 0.7 Villarrobledo in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Toledo 62% · draw 23% · Villarrobledo 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.16.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.16 – we make it 52%, the price implies 46%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Toledo 1–0 Villarrobledo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Toledo62%fair 1.61 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.94
Villarrobledo15%fair 6.74 · @6.95
2.28Expected goals
1.57Toledo xG
0.71Villarrobledo xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Toledo 1.6 – 0.7 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Toledo
Villarrobledo
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 18 average
+28%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-34%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.73
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 18 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Toledo vs Villarrobledo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Toledo vs Villarrobledo?
On our numbers Toledo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarrobledo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Villarrobledo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Villarrobledo?
Our predicted score is Toledo 1–0 Villarrobledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs Villarrobledo?
Toledo vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
