Almansa host Torrijos in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Almansa sit 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Torrijos are 10th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Almansa – form over the last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Illescas 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Torrijos – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Manchego 1–4 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Almansa 1.7 – 0.8 Torrijos in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Almansa 60% · draw 23% · Torrijos 17%.
Safer play: Almansa or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.76.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Almansa 1–0 Torrijos. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Almansa60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Torrijos17%fair 5.73 · @3.94
2.50Expected goals
1.71Almansa xG
0.79Torrijos xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.7 – 0.8 Torrijos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almansa to win
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Almansa or draw
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.76
Draw no bet
Almansa (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Torrijos +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Almansa to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almansa / FT Almansa
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Almansa – last 6
LDLDWL
8 Nov
@ Illescas
0–1
L
1 Nov
vs Villarrobledo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Toledo
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs San Clemente
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Marchamalo
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torrijos – last 6
LLLLWD
8 Nov
vs Manchego
1–4
L
31 Oct
@ Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Villacañas
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ La Solana
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Noblejas
4–0
W
4 Oct
@ Villarrubia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and Torrijos.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Almansa vs Torrijos?
On our numbers Almansa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torrijos 17%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs Torrijos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs Torrijos?
Our predicted score is Almansa 1–0 Torrijos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Almansa vs Torrijos?
Almansa vs Torrijos (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
