Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreviso to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Treviso vs Novara prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie C Girone A action on Sunday 8 November: Treviso take on Novara from 17:30 WAT. Treviso sit 5th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Novara are 14th on 13 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Treviso – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Cittadella 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Novara – form over the last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Desenzano Calvina 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, Treviso have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Treviso 1.5 – 0.7 Novara in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Treviso 60% · draw 19% · Novara 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 54%, the price implies 50%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Treviso 1–0 Novara. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Treviso60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.50
Novara21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
2.27Expected goals
1.54Treviso xG
0.73Novara xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Treviso 1.5 – 0.7 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Treviso (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Novara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Treviso to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Treviso – last 6
LWWLDW
1 Nov
@ Cittadella
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Ospitaletto
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Renate
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novara – last 6
WLDLWL
2 Nov
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Albinoleffe
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Cittadella
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Novara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Treviso vs Novara?
On our numbers Treviso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Novara 21%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Novara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treviso vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Treviso 1–0 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Treviso vs Novara?
Treviso vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
