Value bet: Athletic Carpi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Carpi to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Folgore Caratese host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 17:30 WAT. Folgore Caratese sit 20th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Athletic Carpi are 15th on 13 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Folgore Caratese – form over the last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Union Brescia 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Athletic Carpi – form over the last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Renate 0–5 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.3 per game.
On form, Athletic Carpi have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Folgore Caratese 1.3 – 1.4 Athletic Carpi in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Folgore Caratese 38% · draw 22% · Athletic Carpi 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Athletic Carpi to win at 3.00 – we make it 40%, the price implies 33%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Folgore Caratese 1–1 Athletic Carpi. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Folgore Caratese38%fair 2.63 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Athletic Carpi40%fair 2.49 · @3.00
2.74Expected goals
1.35Folgore Caratese xG
1.40Athletic Carpi xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.3 – 1.4 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Carpi to win✗
40%
2.49
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Athletic Carpi (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Folgore Caratese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Athletic Carpi to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LDLLLW
1 Nov
vs Union Brescia
0–4
L
25 Oct
@ Lecco
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Treviso
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Trento
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LDWWLL
1 Nov
vs Renate
0–5
L
28 Oct
vs Ravenna
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Alcione
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Lumezzane
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Carpi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Folgore Caratese 1–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
