Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie C Girone A action on Sunday 8 November: Desenzano Calvina take on Ospitaletto from 17:30 WAT. Desenzano Calvina sit 13th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Ospitaletto are 4th on 22 (in the top four).
Form guide
Desenzano Calvina – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Novara 0–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.
Ospitaletto – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Trento 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Desenzano Calvina 1.1 – 1.3 Ospitaletto in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Desenzano Calvina 35% · draw 22% · Ospitaletto 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Ospitaletto. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Desenzano Calvina35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.25
Ospitaletto43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
2.41Expected goals
1.12Desenzano Calvina xG
1.29Ospitaletto xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.1 – 1.3 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✓
43%
2.31
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Ospitaletto (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Desenzano Calvina +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Ospitaletto to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
LWLLWW
2 Nov
@ Novara
0–1
L
28 Oct
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Alcione
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
DLLWDW
31 Oct
vs Trento
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Pergolettese
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Treviso
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Renate
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Novara
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ospitaletto 43%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?
Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
