Value bet: Atlético Malveira to win @ 3.04 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaval 1893 to win ✗39% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Naval 1893 v Atlético Malveira in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C – Sunday 8 November, 16:00 WAT. Naval 1893 sit 12th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Atlético Malveira are 5th on 12 (in the top half).
Form guide
Naval 1893 – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to O Elvas 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
Atlético Malveira – form over the last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Benfica Castelo Branco 2–2 at home. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, Atlético Malveira have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Naval 1893 1.3 – 1.3 Atlético Malveira in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Naval 1893 39% · draw 22% · Atlético Malveira 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.76.
Value angle: Atlético Malveira to win at 3.04 – we make it 39%, the price implies 33%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Naval 1893 1–1 Atlético Malveira. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Naval 189339%fair 2.57 · @2.13
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Atlético Malveira39%fair 2.58 · @3.04
2.58Expected goals
1.29Naval 1893 xG
1.29Atlético Malveira xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Naval 1893 1.3 – 1.3 Atlético Malveira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naval 1893 to win✗
39%
2.57
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.76
Draw no bet
Naval 1893 (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Malveira +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Naval 1893 to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naval 1893 / FT Naval 1893✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
Naval 1893 – last 6
LLDLWL
1 Nov
@ O Elvas
1–3
L
25 Oct
vs Mortágua
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ AD Nogueirense
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs FC Alverca II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Oliveira Hospital
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Malveira – last 6
DDWDWD
1 Nov
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ UD da Serra
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Fazendense
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sertanense
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Nazarenos
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Mafra
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naval 1893 and Atlético Malveira.
What is the prediction for Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
On our numbers Naval 1893 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Malveira 39%.
How many goals will there be in Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Our predicted score is Naval 1893 1–1 Atlético Malveira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
