Value bet: Academica to win @ 2.93 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAcademica to win39% · @2.93
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.63
Portimonense vs Academica prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Portimonense v Academica in the Segunda Liga – Sunday 15 November, 15:00 WAT. Portimonense sit 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Academica are 6th on 16 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Portimonense – form over the last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FC Porto B 1–0 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Academica – form over the last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Amarante 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Portimonense 39% · draw 22% · Academica 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Academica to win at 2.93 – we make it 39%, the price implies 34%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Portimonense 1–1 Academica. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Portimonense39%fair 2.58 · @2.31
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
Academica39%fair 2.57 · @2.93
2.43Expected goals
1.21Portimonense xG
1.22Academica xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win
39%
2.57
2.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
Academica to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.63
–
Recent results
Portimonense – last 6
WDLWWW
8 Nov
@ FC Porto B
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Torreense
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Sporting CP B
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Florgrade
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Amarante
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Castro Daire
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Academica – last 6
DLWWWW
7 Nov
vs Amarante
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Vizela
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Leixoes
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Amarante
3–2
W
11 Oct
@ União de Leiria
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Real
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Academica.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Academica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portimonense vs Academica?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Academica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Academica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Academica?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Academica?
Portimonense vs Academica (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
