Value bet: Chaves to win @ 3.46 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win46% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.93
Leixoes vs Chaves prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Leixoes host Chaves in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT. Leixoes sit 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Chaves are 17th on 8 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Leixoes – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Felgueiras 1932 3–3 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 2.0 per game.
Chaves – form over the last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Penafiel 2–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.2 per game.
On form, Chaves have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Leixoes 1.6 – 1.3 Chaves in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Leixoes 46% · draw 21% · Chaves 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.72.
Value angle: Chaves to win at 3.46 – we make it 33%, the price implies 29%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Leixoes 1–1 Chaves. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Leixoes46%fair 2.16 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.42
Chaves33%fair 3.05 · @3.46
2.86Expected goals
1.58Leixoes xG
1.28Chaves xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.6 – 1.3 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win
46%
2.16
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.72 ▲
Draw no bet
Leixoes (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Chaves +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.08
First team to score
Leixoes to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 6
DLLLLW
7 Nov
@ Felgueiras 1932
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Academica
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Vianense
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs FC Porto B
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Cinfães
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 6
LLWWDL
7 Nov
vs Penafiel
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Benfica B
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Vizela
2–1
W
16 Oct
vs Os Marialvas
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Farense
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Chaves.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leixoes vs Chaves?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chaves 33%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs Chaves?
Leixoes vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
