Thu 12 Nov

Sporting CP v Moreirense: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1–0
FT
Sporting CP 74%Draw 14%Moreirense 12% Expected goals 2.45 – 0.84
65%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP to win ✓74% · @1.17
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Sporting CP host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 21:30 WAT. Sporting CP sit 3rd with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Moreirense are 9th on 14 (in the top half).

Form guide

Sporting CP – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Moreirense – form over the last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Estrela 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sporting CP 2.4 – 0.8 Moreirense in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sporting CP 74% · draw 14% · Moreirense 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – we make it 54%, the price implies 49%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sporting CP 2–1 Moreirense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sporting CP74%fair 1.36 · @1.17
Draw14%fair 6.94 · @7.00
Moreirense12%fair 8.45 · @17.00
3.29Expected goals
2.45Sporting CP xG
0.84Moreirense xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.4 – 0.8 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP to win ✓74%1.361.17
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.05 ▲
Draw no betSporting CP (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapSporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.191.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.791.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
First team to scoreSporting CP to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultSporting CP ahead at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP ✗49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Sporting CP – last 6

WWWLLW
3 Nov@ Shakhtar Donetsk1–0W
30 Oct@ Casa Pia2–0W
27 Octvs Maritimo2–1W
25 Octvs Academico Viseu1–2L
21 Octvs Lask Linz2–3L
13 Oct@ Lens2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Moreirense – last 6

WWLLDW
31 Octvs Estrela2–1W
25 Oct@ Estoril3–1W
17 Oct@ AVS0–1L
9 Octvs GIL Vicente0–1L
20 Sep@ Vitória SC1–1D
14 Sepvs Maritimo3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Moreirense.

Sporting CP vs Moreirense head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

On our numbers Sporting CP have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moreirense 12%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–1 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Sporting CP vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.