Thu 12 Nov

Nacional v Academico Viseu: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1–0
FT
Nacional 32%Draw 22%Academico Viseu 45% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.46
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Academico Viseu to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAcademico Viseu to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primeira Liga action on Saturday 7 November: Nacional take on Academico Viseu from 16:30 WAT. Nacional sit 13th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Academico Viseu are 6th on 20 (in the top half).

Form guide

Nacional – form over the last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Arouca 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Academico Viseu – form over the last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Rio Ave 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, Academico Viseu have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Nacional 1.2 – 1.5 Academico Viseu in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Nacional 32% · draw 22% · Academico Viseu 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Academico Viseu to win at 2.55 – we make it 45%, the price implies 39%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nacional 1–1 Academico Viseu. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Nacional32%fair 3.11 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Academico Viseu45%fair 2.20 · @2.55
2.63Expected goals
1.17Nacional xG
1.46Academico Viseu xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Nacional 1.2 – 1.5 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademico Viseu to win ✗45%2.202.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.80
Draw no betAcademico Viseu (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapNacional +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreAcademico Viseu to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academico Viseu / FT Academico Viseu ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Nacional – last 6

LWLLLL
1 Nov@ Arouca0–1L
25 Octvs SC Braga1–0W
17 Oct@ Sanjoanense0–1L
11 Oct@ Rio Ave2–3L
19 Sepvs Famalicao0–4L
12 Sepvs Alverca1–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Academico Viseu – last 6

WLWLWW
1 Novvs Rio Ave2–1W
28 Oct@ FC Porto0–1L
25 Oct@ Sporting CP2–1W
18 Oct@ Fátima0–1L
10 Octvs Estoril2–1W
20 Sep@ Estrela2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional and Academico Viseu.

Nacional vs Academico Viseu head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

On our numbers Nacional have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Academico Viseu 45%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Our predicted score is Nacional 1–1 Academico Viseu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Nacional vs Academico Viseu (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.