Wed 11 Nov

Santa Clara v GIL Vicente: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1–2
FT
Santa Clara 46%Draw 24%GIL Vicente 30% Expected goals 1.15 – 0.86
65%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSanta Clara to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.08

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primeira Liga action on Sunday 8 November: Santa Clara take on GIL Vicente from 16:30 WAT. Santa Clara sit 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while GIL Vicente are 7th on 18 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Santa Clara – form over the last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Maritimo 2–0 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

GIL Vicente – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Vitória SC 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Santa Clara have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Santa Clara 1.2 – 0.9 GIL Vicente in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Santa Clara 46% · draw 24% · GIL Vicente 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
  • Value angle: Santa Clara to win at 2.40 – we make it 46%, the price implies 42%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Santa Clara46%fair 2.18 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.10
GIL Vicente30%fair 3.28 · @3.20
2.01Expected goals
1.15Santa Clara xG
0.86GIL Vicente xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.2 – 0.9 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Clara to win ✗46%2.182.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.05
Draw no betSanta Clara (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapGIL Vicente +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.05
First team to scoreSanta Clara to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.08–

Recent results

Santa Clara – last 6

WLDWDW
1 Nov@ Maritimo2–0W
26 Octvs Benfica1–2L
18 Oct@ Mafra2–2D
10 Oct@ Casa Pia1–0W
20 Sepvs SC Braga0–0D
13 Sep@ Arouca2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

GIL Vicente – last 6

DLLWDW
2 Novvs Vitória SC0–0D
29 Oct@ Benfica1–4L
24 Octvs FC Porto0–1L
19 Oct@ SC Braga2–1W
14 Oct@ União Santarém2–2D
9 Oct@ Moreirense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and GIL Vicente.

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

On our numbers Santa Clara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GIL Vicente 30%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.