Wed 11 Nov

Estoril v Maritimo: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril

LLDLL
Postponed
Estoril 48%Draw 22%Maritimo 30% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.15
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Maritimo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultEstoril to win48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.83

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Estoril v Maritimo in the Primeira Liga – Sunday 8 November, 16:30 WAT, Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Estoril sit 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Maritimo are 15th on 8 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Estoril – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to FC Porto 0–4 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Maritimo – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Santa Clara 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Maritimo have the edge: 0.7 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Estoril 1.5 – 1.2 Maritimo in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Estoril 48% · draw 22% · Maritimo 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
  • Value angle: Maritimo to win at 3.60 – we make it 30%, the price implies 28%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estoril 1–1 Maritimo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Estoril48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Maritimo30%fair 3.31 · @3.60
2.69Expected goals
1.53Estoril xG
1.15Maritimo xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Estoril 1.5 – 1.2 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstoril to win48%2.102.05
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.70
Draw no betEstoril (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapMaritimo +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%1.991.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.161.11
First team to scoreEstoril to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estoril / FT Estoril27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.83–

Recent results

Estoril – last 6

LLDLLL
31 Oct@ FC Porto0–4L
25 Octvs Moreirense1–3L
18 Oct@ Salgueiros1–1D
10 Oct@ Academico Viseu1–2L
20 Sepvs Casa Pia1–2L
14 Sep@ SC Braga0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Maritimo – last 6

LLLWLD
1 Novvs Santa Clara0–2L
27 Oct@ Sporting CP1–2L
23 Oct@ Vitória SC0–5L
18 Oct@ Alcochetense2–1W
10 Octvs FC Porto1–2L
19 Sep@ GIL Vicente1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estoril and Maritimo.

Estoril vs Maritimo head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Estoril vs Maritimo?

On our numbers Estoril have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maritimo 30%.

How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Maritimo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Maritimo?

Our predicted score is Estoril 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Estoril vs Maritimo?

Estoril vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.