Thu 12 Nov

Real Valladolid II v Numancia: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026
Real Valladolid II 32%Draw 22%Numancia 46% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.57
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNumancia to win46% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.90

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Real Valladolid II host Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Real Valladolid II sit 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Numancia are 1st on 19 (top of the table). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Real Valladolid II – form over the last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Real Madrid III 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Numancia – form over the last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Calvo Sotelo 6–0 at home. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Valladolid II 1.3 – 1.6 Numancia in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Valladolid II 32% · draw 22% · Numancia 46%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.63.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Valladolid II32%fair 3.13 · @2.81
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.22
Numancia46%fair 2.17 · @2.21
2.83Expected goals
1.25Real Valladolid II xG
1.57Numancia xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.3 – 1.6 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win46%2.172.21
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.701.63
Draw no betNumancia (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapReal Valladolid II +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.19–
First team to scoreNumancia to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.90–

Recent results

Real Valladolid II – last 6

LWDWDW
7 Nov@ Real Madrid III0–3L
1 Novvs Getafe II4–3W
25 Oct@ Guadalajara4–4D
18 Octvs Real Ávila2–1W
11 Oct@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–1D
4 Octvs Calvo Sotelo3–0W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Numancia – last 6

WWDLDD
8 Novvs Calvo Sotelo6–0W
1 Nov@ Atlético Tordesillas2–1W
29 Octvs Oviedo3–3D
24 Octvs Navalcarnero2–3L
18 Octvs CF Talavera0–0D
11 Oct@ Real Ávila1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Numancia.

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Numancia 46%.

How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.