Thu 12 Nov

Conquense v Guadalajara: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026
Conquense 57%Draw 21%Guadalajara 21% Expected goals 2.05 – 1.19
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultConquense to win57% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21

Conquense vs Guadalajara prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Conquense v Guadalajara in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – Sunday 15 November, 17:00 WAT. Conquense sit 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Guadalajara are 9th on 13 (in the top half).

Form guide

Conquense – form over the last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with RSD Alcalá 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Guadalajara – form over the last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Navalcarnero 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Conquense 2.1 – 1.2 Guadalajara in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Conquense 57% · draw 21% · Guadalajara 21%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.66.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Conquense57%fair 1.75 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.58
Guadalajara21%fair 4.66 · @3.78
3.24Expected goals
2.05Conquense xG
1.19Guadalajara xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Conquense 2.1 – 1.2 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConquense to win57%1.751.74
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.66
Draw no betConquense (draw no bet)73%1.38–
Asian handicapGuadalajara +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.591.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.29–
First team to scoreConquense to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultConquense ahead at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conquense / FT Conquense36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.21–

Recent results

Conquense – last 6

DLWDWL
1 Novvs RSD Alcalá2–2D
29 Octvs Castellón0–3L
25 Oct@ Real Madrid III2–0W
18 Octvs Atlético Paso2–2D
11 Octvs Albacete II4–0W
4 Oct@ A Madrid III2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Guadalajara – last 6

DWDLWD
8 Novvs Navalcarnero2–2D
1 Nov@ Calvo Sotelo2–1W
25 Octvs Real Valladolid II4–4D
18 Oct@ Atlético Tordesillas0–3L
11 Octvs Getafe II4–1W
7 Oct@ Real Madrid III1–1D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Guadalajara.

Conquense vs Guadalajara head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Conquense vs Guadalajara?

On our numbers Conquense have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadalajara 21%.

How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Guadalajara?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Our predicted score is Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Conquense vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.