RSD Alcalá 62%Draw 15%A Madrid III 23%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.97
62%
ZoraTips pick
RSD Alcalá to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.79
5/10Rating
1.79Odds
Picks by market
ResultRSD Alcalá to win62% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.11
RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
RSD Alcalá host A Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. RSD Alcalá sit 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while A Madrid III are 5th on 18 (in the top half).
Form guide
RSD Alcalá – form over the last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Atlético Paso 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
A Madrid III – form over the last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Atlético Tordesillas 3–3 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.
On form, A Madrid III have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects RSD Alcalá 1.8 – 1.0 A Madrid III in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: RSD Alcalá 62% · draw 15% · A Madrid III 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.56.
ZoraTips prediction
We back RSD Alcalá to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.79, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: RSD Alcalá 1–0 A Madrid III. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá62%fair 1.61 · @1.79
Draw15%fair 6.79 · @3.60
A Madrid III23%fair 4.29 · @3.54
2.81Expected goals
1.85RSD Alcalá xG
0.97A Madrid III xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.8 – 1.0 A Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win
62%
1.61
1.79 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
85%
1.17
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.56
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
A Madrid III +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
RSD Alcalá ahead at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 6
DDDLDD
8 Nov
@ Atlético Paso
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Conquense
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs SS Reyes
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
A Madrid III – last 6
DWLDDW
8 Nov
vs Atlético Tordesillas
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs CF Talavera
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Albacete II
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Navalcarnero
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Conquense
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and A Madrid III.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
Our pick is RSD Alcalá to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and A Madrid III 23%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–0 A Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
