Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Numancia v Calvo Sotelo in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – Sunday 8 November, 12:00 WAT. Numancia sit 1st with 19 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Calvo Sotelo are 18th on 6 (in the bottom three). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Numancia – form over the last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Atlético Tordesillas 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.
Calvo Sotelo – form over the last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Guadalajara 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Numancia 68% · draw 22% · Calvo Sotelo 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.59.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Numancia68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
Calvo Sotelo11%fair 9.29 · @7.50
2.30Expected goals
1.77Numancia xG
0.53Calvo Sotelo xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Numancia or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.59
Draw no bet
Numancia (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Numancia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Numancia to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Numancia ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Recent results
Numancia – last 6
WDLDDD
1 Nov
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–1
W
29 Oct
vs Oviedo
3–3
D
24 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs CF Talavera
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Real Ávila
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Getafe II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LDLDLW
1 Nov
vs Guadalajara
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Getafe II
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ SS Reyes
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Numancia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calvo Sotelo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
