Wed 11 Nov

A Madrid III v Atlético Tordesillas: numbers & prediction

A Madrid III 43%Draw 22%Atlético Tordesillas 34% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.21
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds
2

Value bet: Atlético Tordesillas to win @ 3.18 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultA Madrid III to win ✗43% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 action on Sunday 8 November: A Madrid III take on Atlético Tordesillas from 16:30 WAT. A Madrid III sit 5th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Atlético Tordesillas are 12th on 10 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

A Madrid III – form over the last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat CF Talavera 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Atlético Tordesillas – form over the last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Numancia 1–2 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects A Madrid III 1.4 – 1.2 Atlético Tordesillas in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: A Madrid III 43% · draw 22% · Atlético Tordesillas 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.71.
  • Value angle: Atlético Tordesillas to win at 3.18 – we make it 34%, the price implies 31%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: A Madrid III 1–1 Atlético Tordesillas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

A Madrid III43%fair 2.31 · @2.13
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Atlético Tordesillas34%fair 2.93 · @3.18
2.61Expected goals
1.40A Madrid III xG
1.21Atlético Tordesillas xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: A Madrid III 1.4 – 1.2 Atlético Tordesillas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA Madrid III to win ✗43%2.312.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.71
Draw no betA Madrid III (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapAtlético Tordesillas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.381.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.08
First team to scoreA Madrid III to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT A Madrid III / FT A Madrid III ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.44–

Recent results

A Madrid III – last 6

WLDDWW
31 Octvs CF Talavera1–0W
25 Oct@ Albacete II1–2L
17 Octvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–1D
11 Oct@ Navalcarnero1–1D
4 Octvs Conquense3–2W
27 Sepvs Real Madrid III2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlético Tordesillas – last 6

LDDWDW
1 Novvs Numancia1–2L
27 Octvs Mirandes3–3D
24 Oct@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–1D
18 Octvs Guadalajara3–0W
11 Oct@ Real Madrid III0–0D
4 Octvs Salamanca UDS2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between A Madrid III and Atlético Tordesillas.

A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?

On our numbers A Madrid III have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Tordesillas 34%.

How many goals will there be in A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?

Our predicted score is A Madrid III 1–1 Atlético Tordesillas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?

A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.