Value bet: Lorca Deportiva to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValencia II to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Valencia II v Lorca Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – Sunday 8 November, 18:00 WAT. Valencia II sit 18th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Lorca Deportiva are 8th on 13 (in the top half).
Form guide
Valencia II – form over the last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Castellonense 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.8 per game.
Lorca Deportiva – form over the last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Poblense 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Lorca Deportiva have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Valencia II 1.4 – 1.2 Lorca Deportiva in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Valencia II 42% · draw 22% · Lorca Deportiva 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Lorca Deportiva to win at 3.20 – we make it 36%, the price implies 31%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Valencia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Valencia II42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.15
Lorca Deportiva36%fair 2.79 · @3.20
2.62Expected goals
1.37Valencia II xG
1.25Lorca Deportiva xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Valencia II 1.4 – 1.2 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia II to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.66
Draw no bet
Valencia II (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Lorca Deportiva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Valencia II to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Valencia II – last 6
DDLWLL
31 Oct
vs Castellonense
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Elche II
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
WLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Poblense
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Real Murcia II
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ La Nucía
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Valencia II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lorca Deportiva 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Valencia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
