Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Orihuela v Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – Sunday 8 November, 17:00 WAT. Orihuela sit 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Ucam Murcia are 2nd on 19 (in the top four).
Form guide
Orihuela – form over the last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Yeclano 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Ucam Murcia – form over the last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Mallorca II 5–1 at home. They are averaging 3.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Ucam Murcia have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Orihuela 1.2 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Orihuela 29% · draw 21% · Ucam Murcia 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Orihuela29%fair 3.41 · @3.16
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.26
Ucam Murcia50%fair 2.02 · @2.02
2.94Expected goals
1.24Orihuela xG
1.70Ucam Murcia xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.2 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
50%
2.02
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Orihuela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Orihuela – last 6
DDWLLL
1 Nov
@ Yeclano
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Valencia II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Mallorca II
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Peña Deportiva
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Cieza
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WLWWLW
1 Nov
vs Mallorca II
5–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cieza
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ucam Murcia 50%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
