Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
1
Value bet: Castellonense to win @ 2.69 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCastellonense to win ✗43% · @2.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Castellonense vs Alcoyano prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Castellonense host Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 11:45 WAT. Castellonense sit 4th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Alcoyano are 7th on 14 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Castellonense – form over the last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Valencia II 1–1 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Alcoyano – form over the last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Real Murcia II 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Castellonense 1.2 – 1.1 Alcoyano in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Castellonense 43% · draw 23% · Alcoyano 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Castellonense to win at 2.69 – we make it 43%, the price implies 37%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Castellonense 1–1 Alcoyano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Castellonense43%fair 2.34 · @2.69
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.02
Alcoyano35%fair 2.89 · @2.41
2.29Expected goals
1.23Castellonense xG
1.06Alcoyano xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Castellonense 1.2 – 1.1 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellonense to win✗
43%
2.34
2.69 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.92
Draw no bet
Castellonense (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Alcoyano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Castellonense to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellonense / FT Castellonense✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Castellonense – last 6
DDWLWL
31 Oct
@ Valencia II
1–1
D
27 Oct
vs Almeria
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Intercity
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Deportiva Minera
2–3
L
4 Oct
vs Real Murcia II
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcoyano – last 6
DLLWWW
1 Nov
vs Real Murcia II
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Mallorca II
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Poblense
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and Alcoyano.
What is the prediction for Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
On our numbers Castellonense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alcoyano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Our predicted score is Castellonense 1–1 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Castellonense vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
