Wed 11 Nov

Valencia v Real Madrid: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio de Mestalla
0–3
FT
Valencia 6%Draw 18%Real Madrid 76% Expected goals 0.67 – 2.48
76%
ZoraTips pick

Real Madrid to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Madrid to win ✓76% · @1.22
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓94% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓11% · fair 9.15

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Valencia host Real Madrid in the La Liga on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia sit 19th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Real Madrid are 2nd on 30 (in the top four). A 21-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Valencia – form over the last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Elche 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Real Madrid – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat AEK Athens FC 3–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 3.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Real Madrid have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Valencia 0.7 – 2.5 Real Madrid in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 63% likely and both teams score 46% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Valencia 6% · draw 18% · Real Madrid 76%.
  • Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.91.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Real Madrid to win, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Valencia6%fair 15.50 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @7.00
Real Madrid76%fair 1.32 · @1.22
3.14Expected goals
0.67Valencia xG
2.48Real Madrid xG
46%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–311%
0–111%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%

From our goals model: Valencia 0.7 – 2.5 Real Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid to win ✓76%1.321.22
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓94%1.071.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.841.91
Draw no betReal Madrid (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapReal Madrid -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.721.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
First team to scoreReal Madrid to score first ✓75%1.33–
Half-time resultReal Madrid ahead at half-time ✓56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid ✓53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓11%9.15–

Recent results

Valencia – last 6

WLDDLW
1 Nov@ Elche1–0W
24 Octvs Villarreal1–2L
17 Octvs Athletic Club0–0D
11 Oct@ Racing Santander2–2D
20 Sepvs Real Sociedad2–3L
15 Sep@ Alaves1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Madrid – last 6

WWWWWW
4 Nov@ AEK Athens FC3–2W
1 Nov@ Racing Santander3–0W
25 Oct@ Barcelona2–1W
21 Octvs RB Leipzig4–1W
18 Octvs Sevilla4–1W
14 Oct@ AS Roma4–3W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Real Madrid.

Valencia vs Real Madrid head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

On our numbers Valencia have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid 76%.

How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Real Madrid?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our predicted score is Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Valencia vs Real Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.